Decoding chance, mastering risk.
AURUM Sports is the institutional intelligence layer for sports betting. Every pick traces back to specific drivers — EV, sharp consensus, schedule density, rotation stress, phase fragility, environment, series variance — so you see the math, not a black-box rank. Now with player props plus full game-line edges (spread / total / moneyline), 30+ sportsbook coverage, and live in-game prop pivots across all 7 leagues.
SPORTS BASIC
NBA + MLB + NHL
$19
per month · $190/yr
- ✓Player props + game-line picks (spread / total / moneyline) for NBA / MLB / NHL
- ✓Grade C+ filter (steady-edge picks)
- ✓AURUM Composite Score with full driver attribution
- ✓30+ sportsbook line coverage (best-line shopping)
- ✓Telegram + Discord delivery
- ✓Last-7d hit rate + CLV reporting
- ✓Per-league filters + variance stripe selection
- —NFL / CFB / CBB / WNBA / 12 soccer leagues
- —Anti-Fragility contrarian alerts
- —PALD DFS lineup builder + DFS ownership integration
- —Live in-game coach + prop pivots
Most Popular
SPORTS PRO
All leagues
$59
per month · $590/yr
- ✓Every league (NBA / MLB / NHL / NFL / CFB / CBB / WNBA / 12 soccer leagues)
- ✓Grade B+ default with custom filters
- ✓Anti-Fragility contrarian alerts
- ✓PALD DFS lineup builder + 8-layer accuracy stack
- ✓DFS ownership integration (DraftKings + FanDuel %)
- ✓30+ sportsbook line coverage + steam-following
- ✓Variance Stripe filtering
- ✓Sharp money divergence detection
- ✓Live in-game coach + prop pivots — all 7 leagues
- ✓Per-league bankroll + Adaptive Kelly sizing
- —API access
- —Custom composite score thresholds
API Access
SPORTS ELITE
All + API + early access
$149
per month · $1490/yr
- ✓Everything in PRO
- ✓API access to picks + composite scores + projections
- ✓Early access to new leagues + overlays
- ✓Custom Composite Score thresholds
- ✓Backtest harness with per-overlay attribution
- ✓Priority pick delivery (sub-100ms)
- ✓Game-state Monte Carlo (10k sims) with team correlation
- ✓White-label reporting (PDF/CSV exports)
Every score traces to seven named drivers.
Competitor pick services emit opaque "confidence" scores. AURUM shows the math: EV strength, win-probability quality, devigging confidence, overlay context, variance penalty, substrate confidence, and anti-fragility flag. You see exactly why a pick is rated 78/A versus 49/C.
Sharp money divergence detector. Walk-forward backtest with per-overlay alpha attribution. Live coach in-game pivot signals. PALD lineup builder with correlation copula. None of these are marketing buzzwords — they're shipping infrastructure.
Eight independent corrections layered on every projection.
A baseline projection isn't enough. AURUM pipes every player and every game through eight independent correction layers — each one rooted in a published edge — before it ever shows up as a pick.
Layer 01
Lineup confirmation gate
Filters Out / Doubtful players from the DFS pool using SDIO + ESPN injuries — no whiff-on-scratched-player bets.
Layer 02
Injury partial-shrink
Probable 1.00 / GTD 0.95 / Questionable 0.80 / Doubtful 0.30 — empirical multipliers, not binary cutoffs.
Layer 03
Vegas total bias
Game total vs league average → ±15% bounded multiplier on every projected mean.
Layer 04
Pace adjustment
Opponent pace from 20-game box-score volume → ±15% bounded multiplier per matchup.
Layer 05
Garbage-time discount
When market spread exceeds league threshold (NBA 12 / NHL 3 / MLB 6), top starters shrunk 15%.
Layer 06
Coach rest-day tendency
Days-rest from sports.games → league-specific multiplier (NBA b2b 0.92, NFL Thursday 0.94).
Layer 07
Sharp + steam feedback
Sharp-vs-retail probability gap → ±5pp bounded shift; steam reinforces direction 1.5x when aligned.
Layer 08
Game-state Monte Carlo
10k joint-distribution sims with team-game-state correlation (ρ=0.30) for total / spread / ML probabilities.
Pivot signals across all 7 leagues — every 90 seconds.
AURUM polls every in-progress game on a 90-second tick — NBA + WNBA via stats.nba.com, MLB via statsapi.mlb.com, NHL via api-web.nhle.com, and NFL / CFB / CBB via ESPN's public boxscore. Player-prop pivots extrapolate live stat lines (NBA P3 18pts → 24, NHL P2 → 27, MLB inning 6 → 27, CBB H1 → 36) and emit fade / hold / press signals against your open picks.
No paid SDIO live tier required. Every league uses free official APIs — header-spoofed where needed, polite cadence everywhere.
PALD lineups with real DraftKings + FanDuel ownership.
AURUM's DFS layer combines a PuLP/CBC integer-programming optimizer with stack rules, correlation copula, and live ownership projections from the same Stokastic + RotoGrinders feeds the sharps use. Contrarian leverage via real ownership %, not guesses.
Late-swap re-optimization pins already-locked players via SENTINEL projection boost and re-runs the optimizer against the fresh pool — returns a new lineup only when Δ projection ≥ 0.5 fp.
Every league worth modeling.
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